LOCAL MARKET COMMENTARY
On Friday, the Top 40 index on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange dropped by 1.17%, closing at 76,969 points, influenced in part by retail sector news. The All Share index also declined, finishing 1.02% lower at 85,124 points. On Saturday, South Africa’s border authority announced a partial reopening of its main crossing with Mozambique, where recent protests following last month’s contested election have raised security concerns. Opposition supporters in Mozambique are protesting against what they allege is a fraudulent victory by Frelimo, the party that has governed the country since 1975.
EUROPEAN MARKET COMMENTARY
European markets ended last week on a down note as investors reacted to corporate earnings and the Bank of England's quarter-point rate cut. Germany's DAX index declined, reversing previous gains, following political turmoil. Chancellor Olaf Scholz dismissed Finance Minister Christian Lindner, prompting a reshuffle that effectively ended the three-way coalition government. The shake-up has heightened the risk of a no-confidence vote and potential early elections, although Scholz indicated he would not call for a confidence vote until mid-January.
US MARKET COMMENTARY
The S&P 500 briefly surpassed 6,000 on Friday, achieving its biggest weekly gain in a year, driven by optimism around Donald Trump's election win and a potential Republican control of Congress. An expected interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve and hopes for lower taxes and deregulation fuelled market gains, with Nasdaq hitting record highs. U.S. consumer sentiment also reached a seven-month peak, boosted by increased optimism among Republicans.
ASIA MARKET COMMENTARY
Asia-Pacific markets declined this morning after China's new $1.4 trillion stimulus package fell short of expectations, raising concerns about its economic recovery. October's inflation rate dropped to 0.3%, the lowest in four months, missing forecasts. Analysts are sceptical about the impact of the measures, while the upcoming Singles' Day sales will serve as a key indicator of consumer spending in China.
CURRENCY MARKET COMMENTARY
The South African rand weakened on Friday as a volatile week, marked by Donald Trump’s U.S. election victory, came to an end. Meanwhile, the dollar held steady this morning as markets awaited U.S. inflation data and key Federal Reserve comments. The Chinese yuan remained subdued following disappointment over Beijing's latest stimulus package.
COMMODITY MARKET COMMENTARY
Gold prices saw their biggest weekly drop in over five months on Friday, driven by a stronger dollar and changing expectations around U.S. interest rates after Donald Trump's election win. Oil prices also fell over 2% on Friday, as fears of prolonged supply disruptions from a Gulf hurricane eased and China's new economic stimulus measures underwhelmed traders.
The Foschini Group Limited (TFG) 5.03%
The company reported a record gross profit of R12.8 billion, up by 2.5%, with an improved gross margin. While overall group revenue slightly declined by 1.4% to R28 billion, online sales grew significantly by 9.9%, driven by a 47.9% increase in South Africa. Sales fell in key regions, with TFG Africa down by 0.1%, TFG London by 8.2%, and TFG Australia by 2.4%. Credit sales contributed 26.8% to TFG Africa's total sales. Operating profit decreased by 3.4%, and both basic and headline earnings per share dropped by around 5%. An interim dividend of 160 cents per share was declared, up 6.7% from the previous year.
Sephaku Holdings Limited (SEP) 6.91%
The group reported consolidated revenue of R613.8 million, slightly down from R626.6 million in H1 2024, but net profit after tax rose significantly to R32.6 million. Basic and headline earnings per share almost doubled compared to the previous period, and net asset value per share increased to 538.66 cents. For Métier, EBITDA and EBIT margins remained stable, with slight declines in profit. SepCem saw improved financial performance, with revenue up to R1.3 billion, higher margins, and a return to profit after tax of R5.0 million, reversing a previous loss. No dividends were declared for this period.
ISA Holdings Limited (ISA) -11.11%
For the six months ending 31 August 2024, turnover decreased by 8% to R45.1 million. However, profit before other income and expenses rose by 8%, reaching R24.9 million, and profit after tax increased by 10% to R13.2 million. Earnings per share also improved by 10% to 8.5 cents. Total assets grew by 5%, but cash and cash equivalents dropped by 25%. Equity rose slightly by 2%, while total liabilities increased by 14%. Notably, no dividends were declared, marking a 100% drop compared to the previous period. The net asset value per share increased marginally to 37.6 cents.
Huge Group Limited (HUG) 0.00%
For the six months ended 31 August 2024, Huge Group reported a net asset value per share of 983.73 cents, up from 960.31 cents in the same period last year. Operating profit increased to R33.4 million compared to R28.4 million in August 2023. Headline earnings per share rose to 19.38 cents, reflecting an improvement from 16.45 cents in the previous period. No dividends were declared or paid during this period.
Paramount Global (PARA) -3.99%
Paramount Global's quarterly revenue fell short of expectations, hurt by declines in its studio and cable TV segments despite strong growth in streaming subscribers driven by the NFL. The company reported a revenue of $6.73 billion, below the $6.95 billion forecast. Filmed entertainment revenue dropped 34%, while TV media revenue fell 6% due to lower ad spending. However, cost-cutting helped boost profits, with adjusted earnings of 49 cents per share, beating the 24-cent estimate. The planned merger with Skydance Media is expected to complete by mid-2025.
Sony Group Corporation (6758) +1.21%
Sony's operating profit jumped 73% in Q3, driven by strong performance in its game and network services, offsetting weaker TV production. The company maintained its annual profit forecast at 1.31 trillion yen ($8.51 billion), close to analyst expectations. Game segment profits nearly tripled to 138.8 billion yen, prompting an increase in the annual profit outlook for this division. Despite a 22% drop in PlayStation 5 sales, Sony kept its forecast at 18 million units for the year. The pictures segment saw profits decline due to delays from Hollywood strikes.
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