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MARKET COMMENTARY

Local Market Commentary

South Africa’s Top 40 and All Share indices fell 0.92% and 0.94%, closing at 81,814.9 and 89,105.7 points, respectively. Political uncertainty increased after parliament narrowly passed the budget’s fiscal framework (194–182), with the ANC securing support from smaller parties, while coalition partner the Democratic Alliance (DA) opposed the measure alongside the MK and EFF, raising questions over its role in government. Meanwhile, a South African delegation returned from the US following discussions aimed at easing diplomatic tensions, which have been strained by disputes over land expropriation and the country's genocide case against Israel at the International Court of Justice.

European Market Commentary%

European shares declined on Wednesday, with the STOXX 600 closing 0.5% lower and Germany’s DAX falling 0.7%, as healthcare losses and uncertainty over impending US tariffs weighed on sentiment. French and UK officials signalled cautious responses to potential tariffs, while ECB President Christine Lagarde warned of global economic risks. However, ECB policymaker Francois Villeroy de Galhau noted that the measures were unlikely to disrupt Europe's ongoing inflation decline.

U.S. Market Commentary

U.S. stock indexes closed higher after a volatile session on Wednesday, but futures fell sharply as President Trump announced sweeping tariffs, including a 10% baseline duty on all imports and higher levies on key trading partners. S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures dropped 1.6% and 2.4%, respectively, signalling potential losses at today’s open. Market volatility has intensified amid concerns over the tariffs’ impact on inflation, corporate earnings, and global trade. Meanwhile, U.S. private payrolls grew in March, and factory orders rose in February, likely due to pre-tariff stockpiling. Investors now turn to Friday’s non-farm payrolls report and Fed Chair Powell’s speech for insights on economic conditions and interest rates.

Asia Market Commentary

Asia-Pacific markets tumbled this morning after U.S. President Donald Trump imposed steep reciprocal tariffs on over 180 countries, impacting key regional exporters. Japanese and South Korean auto stocks fell sharply following a 25% U.S. tariff on all auto exports, with reports indicating Nissan has temporarily halted part of its production line in Mexico. While Nikkei noted the suspension was pre-planned and part of ongoing capacity adjustments, the broader impact of U.S. trade policies on regional markets remains a key concern.

Currency Market Commentary

The South African rand fell sharply on Wednesday following a contentious budget vote that raised concerns over the stability of the coalition government. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar weakened this morning, and the euro strengthened after President Trump unveiled more aggressive tariffs, sending shockwaves through global markets. Investors sought safe havens such as the yen, Swiss franc, bonds, and gold, as global stocks tumbled in response to the tariff news.

Commodity Market Commentary

Gold surged to a record high as investors sought safe-haven assets following President Trump’s unexpectedly aggressive import tariffs, escalating global trade tensions. Meanwhile, oil prices fell by $2 amid fears that the widening trade war could weaken global crude demand.

LOCAL COMMENTARY

Kore Potash PLC (KP2) +8.89%

Kore Potash has confirmed that Chairman David Hathorn will invest US$0.5 million (£0.38 million) in new ordinary shares at 1.7 pence per share, following the lifting of trading restrictions after the release of the company’s 2024 Annual Report. The subscription, conducted through the Belle Terre Trust and Stapleford Trust, involves the issuance of 22,644,928 new shares and qualifies as a related party transaction under AIM and ASX regulations, necessitating shareholder approval. This investment supplements the capital raised in the recent placing, reinforcing funding for the continued development of the Sintoukola Potash Project in the Republic of Congo.

INTERNATIONAL COMMENTARY

Siemens AG (SIE) 0.00%

Siemens announced the acquisition of U.S.-based Dotmatics for $5.1 billion from Insight Partners to enhance its Life Sciences portfolio. The deal will primarily be financed through share sales, including those from its healthcare subsidiary Siemens Healthineers (SHLG.DE). This acquisition expands Siemens’ industrial software market, with an estimated $11 billion opportunity. Siemens expects significant revenue synergies, with medium-term revenue of $100 million annually, growing to over $500 million long-term. Dotmatics, a provider of R&D scientific software, is projected to generate over $300 million in revenue in 2025, with an adjusted EBITDA margin exceeding 40%.

Balchug Capital

Russian President Vladimir Putin has authorised Balchug Capital, an Armenian investment fund, to purchase shares in nine major companies previously owned by Goldman Sachs' Russian subsidiary, according to a decree issued on Wednesday. This follows an earlier January decree allowing Balchug Capital to acquire Goldman Sachs' Russian operations, enabling the U.S. bank to withdraw from the market. Moscow has increasingly imposed stringent restrictions on foreign asset sales, with required discounts of at least 60% and presidential approval for transactions involving banks and energy firms. The shares involved are valued at nearly $80 million, though the transaction price remains undisclosed. This move is part of broader efforts by Russia to manage foreign-owned funds amid Western sanctions that have frozen substantial sovereign assets.

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Media, Sasfin Wealth

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